Finance Minister Zdravko Maric said on Monday that the introduction of the euro as the sole legal tender would impact Croatia's credit rating, and quoted the Fitch agency's presumption that the country's admission to the euro area would raise its credit rating by two notches.
Addressing a meeting of the National Council for the Introduction of the Euro as Official Currency in Croatia, which was also attended by the EC Vice President Valdis Dombrovskis, Minister Maric recalled that the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic triggered off a rise in the budget gap, and last year the general government deficit amounted to 7.4% of the country’s GDP.
This year, it is estimated at 3.8%.
According to the latest estimates, the budget deficit in 2022 will fall to 2.6% of GDP and to 1.9% in 2023, while in 2024 it is projected to be 1.5% of GDP.
Maric recalled that as a consequence of the higher budget deficit, the public debt also rose in 2020, when it reached 88% of GDP.
This year, the public debt is likely to fall by two percentage points to 86.6%, and in 2022, it is expected to be reduced by a further three percentage points.
Maric expects the public debt to be 76.8% of GDP at the end of 2024.
He announced a shift of the focus to inflation, noting that inflation trends were now present worldwide.
Croatian National Bank (HNB) Governor, Boris Vujcic, said that Croatia’s admission to the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) II had brought the country under the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) and it also joined the Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM).
Concerning the HNB, we are already in the bank union to a large extent. Our experience from participation in the SSM and SRM is good, we have adjusted ourselves to that, Vujcic said.
Commenting on fears of higher prices being triggered off by the euro changeover, the governor pledged the protection of consumers and good communication.
“We are preparing the code of ethics which will be offered to businesses and services to sign, whereby they undertake fair performance during the euro changeover, he explained.
We will introduce monitoring and we will use the best practices of countries that have already converted their national currencies to the euro, he said.
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